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Evaluating Factors Influencing Dynamic Modulus Prediction: GRA-MLR Compared with Sigmoidal Modelling for Asphalt Mixtures with Reclaimed Asphalt

Belhaj M.
•
Valentin J.
•
Baldo N.
•
Krol J. B.
2025
  • journal article

Periodico
INFRASTRUCTURES
Abstract
The dynamic modulus of asphalt mixtures (|E*|) is a key mechanical parameter in the design of road pavements, yet direct laboratory testing is time- and resource-intensive. This study evaluates two predictive models for estimating |E*| using data from 62 asphalt mixtures containing reclaimed asphalt: a grey relational analysis–multiple linear regression (GRA-MLR) hybrid model and a mechanistic sigmoidal model. The results showed that the GRA-MLR model effectively identifies influential variables but achieved moderate predictive accuracy (R2 values varying from 0.4743 to 0.6547). In contrast, the sigmoidal model outperformed across all temperature conditions (R2 > 0.96) and produced predictions deviating by less than ±20% from measured values. Temperature-dependent shifts in factor influence were observed, with stiffness and gradation dominating at low temperatures and reclaimed asphalt (RA) content becoming more significant at higher temperatures. While the GRA-MLR model is advantageous, offering rapid assessments and early-stage evaluations, the sigmoidal model offers the precision suited for detailed design. Integrating both models can balance computational efficiency and provide a balanced strategy, with strong predictive reliability to advance mechanistic–empirical pavement design.
DOI
10.3390/infrastructures10100269
WOS
WOS:001603737600001
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/11390/1317924
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-105019951544
https://ricerca.unityfvg.it/handle/11390/1317924
Diritti
open access
license:creative commons
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Soggetti
  • asphalt mixture

  • dynamic modulu

  • GRA-MLR

  • grey relational analy...

  • multiple linear regre...

  • sigmoidal model

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