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Implementing machine learning for predictive analytics: An empirical study of employee turnover

Ghita Regasse
•
Francesco Venier
2025
  • journal article

Periodico
NEXT RESEARCH
Abstract
Employee turnover presents a critical challenge for organizations, affecting operational efficiency, morale, and long-term performance. This paper investigates the application of machine learning models for predicting employee attrition using the IBM HR Analytics dataset. Several algorithms were tested, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Support Vector Classifier (SVC). Models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, ROC AUC, and cross-validation. Among them, Support Vector Classifier (SVC) model demonstrated superior performance, with an AUC of 0.8129 and cross-validated AUC of 0.8291, indicating strong discriminative capability. Feature importance analysis revealed that overtime, job satisfaction, and employee involvement are key predictors of turnover. The findings highlight machine learning’s value in transitioning HR practices from reactive to proactive workforce management, with potential future applications including deployment in HR dashboards, ethical compliance, and dynamic data integration.
DOI
10.1016/j.nexres.2025.100873
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3117758
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S3050475925007407?via=ihub
https://ricerca.unityfvg.it/handle/11368/3117758
Diritti
open access
license:copyright editore
license uri:iris.pri02
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/bitstream/11368/3117758/1/1-s2.0-S3050475925007407-main.pdf
Soggetti
  • Attrition prediction

  • Employee turnover

  • Predictive analytic

  • Support vector classi...

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