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On the area swept by a biased diffusion till its first-exit time: martingale approach and gambling opportunities

Yonathan Sarmiento
•
Debraj Das
•
Édgar Roldán
2024
  • journal article

Periodico
INDIAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICS
Abstract
Using martingale theory, we compute, in very few lines, exact analytical expressions for various first-exit-time statistics associated with one-dimensional biased diffusion. Examples include the distribution for the first-exit time from an interval, moments for the first-exit site, and functionals of the position, which involve memory and time integration. As a key example, we compute analytically the mean area swept by a biased diffusion until it escapes an interval that may be asymmetric and have arbitrary length. The mean area allows us to derive the hitherto unexplored cross-correlation function between the first-exit time and the first-exit site, which vanishes only for exit problems from symmetric intervals. As a colophon, we explore connections of our results with gambling, showing that betting on the time-integrated value of a losing game it is possible to design a strategy that leads to a net average win.
DOI
10.1007/s12648-024-03182-8
WOS
WOS:001214550700001
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11767/147150
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85192019580
https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.00895
Diritti
closed access
license:non specificato
license uri:na
Soggetti
  • Brownian motion

  • First-passage process...

  • Martingale theory

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