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Detecting and mitigating adversarial examples in regression tasks: A photovoltaic power generation forecasting case study

Santana E. J.
•
Silva R. P.
•
Zarpelao B. B.
•
Sylvio Barbon Junior
2021
  • journal article

Periodico
INFORMATION
Abstract
With data collected by Internet of Things sensors, deep learning (DL) models can forecast the generation capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power plants. This functionality is especially relevant for PV power operators and users as PV plants exhibit irregular behavior related to environmental conditions. However, DL models are vulnerable to adversarial examples, which may lead to increased predictive error and wrong operational decisions. This work proposes a new scheme to detect adversarial examples and mitigate their impact on DL forecasting models. This approach is based on one-class classifiers and features extracted from the data inputted to the forecasting models. Tests were performed using data collected from a real-world PV power plant along with adversarial samples generated by the Fast Gradient Sign Method under multiple attack patterns and magnitudes. One-class Support Vector Machine and Local Outlier Factor were evaluated as detectors of attacks to Long-Short Term Memory and Temporal Convolutional Network forecasting models. According to the results, the proposed scheme showed a high capability of detecting adversarial samples with an average F1-score close to 90%. Moreover, the detection and mitigation approach strongly reduced the prediction error increase caused by adversarial samples.
DOI
10.3390/info12100394
WOS
WOS:000712846100001
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3037244
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85116237596
https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/12/10/394
Diritti
open access
license:creative commons
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/bitstream/11368/3037244/2/information-12-00394.pdf
Soggetti
  • Adversarial machine l...

  • Intelligent cyber-phy...

  • Photovoltaic generati...

  • Security

  • Smart grid

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