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Scenario Weights for Importance Measurement (SWIM) – an R package for sensitivity analysis

Silvana M. Pesenti
•
Alberto Bettini
•
Pietro Millossovich
•
Andreas Tsanakas
2021
  • journal article

Periodico
ANNALS OF ACTUARIAL SCIENCE (PRINT)
Abstract
The SWIM package implements a flexible sensitivity analysis framework, based primarily on results and tools developed by Pesenti et al. (2019). SWIM provides a stressed version of a stochastic model, subject to model components (random variables) fulfilling given probabilistic constraints (stresses). Possible stresses can be applied on moments, probabilities of given events, and risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. SWIM operates upon a single set of simulated scenarios from a stochastic model, returning scenario weights, which encode the required stress and allow monitoring the impact of the stress on all model components. The scenario weights are calculated to minimise the relative entropy with respect to the baseline model, subject to the stress applied. As well as calculating scenario weights, the package provides tools for the analysis of stressed models, including plotting facilities and evaluation of sensitivity measures. SWIM does not require additional evaluations of the simulation model or explicit knowledge of its underlying statistical and functional relations; hence it is suitable for the analysis of black box models. The capabilities of SWIM are demonstrated through a case study of a credit portfolio model.
DOI
10.1017/S1748499521000130
WOS
WOS:000668558600013
Archivio
http://hdl.handle.net/11368/2987785
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85106049576
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/annals-of-actuarial-science/article/abs/scenario-weights-for-importance-measurement-swim-an-r-package-for-sensitivity-analysis/85DA03DC399CEB78F8C0EADF41F796D4
Diritti
open access
license:creative commons
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/bitstream/11368/2987785/1/bookdown-SWIM-3.pdf
Soggetti
  • Sensitivity analysi

  • risk measure

  • stress testing

  • sensitivity measures,...

Visualizzazioni
5
Data di acquisizione
Apr 19, 2024
Vedi dettagli
google-scholar
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