Inhibitory Immune Checkpoints Predict 7-Day, In-Hospital, and 1-Year Mortality of Internal Medicine Patients Admitted With Bacterial Sepsis

Background: Sepsis is a life-threatening syndrome with complex pathophysiology and great clinical heterogeneity which complicates the delivery of personalized therapies. Our goals were to demonstrate that some biomarkers identified as regulatory immune checkpoints in preclinical studies could 1)improve sepsis prognostication based on clinical variables and 2)guide the stratification of septic patients in subgroups with shared characteristics of immune response or survival outcomes. Methods: We assayed the soluble counterparts of 12 biomarkers of immune response in 113 internal medicine patients with bacterial sepsis. Results: IL-1 receptor-associated kinase M (IRAK-M) exhibited the highest hazard ratios (HRs) for increased 7-day (1.94 [1.17-3.20]) and 30-day mortality (1.61 [1.14-2.28]). HRs of IRAK-M and Galectin-1 for predicting 1-year mortality were 1.52 (1.20-1.92) and 1.64 (1.13-2.36), respectively. A prognostic model including IRAK-M, Galectin-1, and clinical variables (Charlson Comorbidty Index, multiple source of sepsis, and SOFA score) had high discrimination for death at 7 days and 30 days (area under the curve 0.90 [0.82-0.99]) and 0.86 [0.79-0.94], respectively). Patients with elevated serum levels of IRAK-M and Galectin-1 had clinical traits of immune suppression and low survival rates. None of the 12 biomarkers were independent predictors of 2-year mortality. Conclusions: Two inhibitory immune checkpoint biomarkers (IRAK-M and Galectin-1) helped identify 3 distinct sepsis phenotypes with distinct prognoses. These biomarkers shed light on the interplay between immune dysfunction and prognosis in patients with bacterial sepsis and may prove to be useful prognostic markers, therapeutic targets, and biochemical markers for targeted enrollment in targeted therapeutic trials.