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Deep learning neural networks for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting

Mellit A.
•
Massi Pavan A.
•
Lughi V.
2021
  • journal article

Periodico
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Abstract
Accurate short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power is indispensable for controlling and designing smart energy management systems for microgrids. In this paper, different kinds of deep learning neural networks (DLNN) for short-term output PV power forecasting have been developed and compared: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Bidirectional GRU (BiGRU), One-Dimension Convolutional Neural Network (CNN1D), as well as other hybrid configurations such as CNN1D-LSTM and CNN1D-GRU. A database of the PV power produced by the microgrid installed at the University of Trieste (Italy) is used to train and comparatively test the neural networks. The performance has been evaluated over four different time horizons (1 min, 5 min, 30 min and 60 min), for one-Step and multi-step ahead. The results show that the investigated DLNNs provide very good accuracy, particularly in the case of 1 min time horizon with one-step ahead (correlation coefficient is close to 1), while for the case of multi-step ahead (up to 8 steps ahead) the results are found to be acceptable (correlation coefficient ranges between 96.9% and 98%).
DOI
10.1016/j.renene.2021.02.166
WOS
WOS:000641149400010
Archivio
http://hdl.handle.net/11368/2991422
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85102894375
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148121003475?via=ihub
Diritti
open access
license:copyright editore
license:creative commons
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/request-item?handle=11368/2991422
Soggetti
  • Deep neural network

  • Forecasting

  • Microgrid

  • Multi-step

  • One-step

  • Photovoltaic power

  • Short-term

Web of Science© citazioni
94
Data di acquisizione
Mar 23, 2024
Visualizzazioni
2
Data di acquisizione
Apr 19, 2024
Vedi dettagli
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