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A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy

Bruno Buonomo
•
Rossella Della Marca
•
D'ONOFRIO A
•
Maria Groppi
2022
  • journal article

Periodico
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY
Abstract
We introduce a compartmental epidemic model to describe the spread of COVID-19 within a population, assuming that a vaccine is available, but vaccination is not mandatory. The model takes into account vaccine hesitancy and the refusal of vaccination by individuals, which take their decision on vaccination based on both the present and past information about the spread of the disease. Theoretical analysis and simulations show that voluntary vaccination can certainly reduce the impact of the disease but is unable to eliminate it. We also demonstrate how the information-related parameters affect the dynamics of the disease. In particular, vaccine hesitancy and refusal are better contained in case of widespread information coverage and short-term memory. Finally, the possible impact of seasonality on the spread of the disease is investigated.
DOI
10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110973
WOS
WOS:000780337400003
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3029102
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85121225635
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110973
Diritti
open access
license:copyright editore
license:creative commons
license uri:iris.pri02
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/request-item?handle=11368/3029102
Soggetti
  • Infectious disease

  • Human behaviour

  • Vaccination

  • Stability

  • Seasonality

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