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Earthquake early warning system empowered by time-dependent neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment

Yan Zhang
•
Zhongliang Wu
•
Fabio Romanelli
altro
Giuliano F. Panza
2023
  • journal article

Periodico
TERRA NOVA
Abstract
In the network-based on-site earthquake early warning system (EEWS), the “blind zone”, namely the zone where the issued warning arrives later than the destructive S and surface waves, is one of the challenges affecting its effectiveness. The blind zone is determined by the interstation distance, or equivalently the density of seismic stations, of the network. In this paper, we suggest a practical approach according to which, when in a region a temporary increase of seismic hazard is declared, additional stations are deployed in such a way that the blind zone is temporarily reduced. In the procedure, the time-dependent neo- deterministic seismic hazard assessment (TD-NDSHA) plays a vital role in the identification of the regions potentially exposed to high macroseismic intensities. As a showcase example, we consider the scenario of year 2014 at the Sichuan-Yunnan border of southwest China. The TD-NDSHA is based on the standard NDSHA procedure at regional scale (bedrock conditions), with the “controlling earthquakes” defined on the basis of the Annual Consultation. We show that the blind zone can be reduced in the identified areas of interest (e.g., MMI ≥ VI), by deploying a limited number of additional seismic stations. In the case where false alarms can be tolerated, significant reduction of the blind zone can be implemented by moving from a network-based EEWS to a single-sensor-based EEWS and skipping the process of location and magnitude-determination/prediction procedures.
DOI
10.1111/ter.12647
WOS
WOS:000957287300001
Archivio
https://hdl.handle.net/11368/3041982
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/scopus/2-s2.0-85150900390
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ter.12647
Diritti
open access
license:creative commons
license:digital rights management non definito
license uri:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
license uri:iris.pri00
FVG url
https://arts.units.it/bitstream/11368/3041982/3/Terra Nova - 2023 - Zhang.pdf
Soggetti
  • Earthquake Early Warn...

  • blind zone

  • time- dependent neo-d...

  • China Seismic Experim...

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