Multidimensional prognostic index predicts short- and long-term mortality and rehospitalizations in older patients with hip fracture

Background: Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI), calculated on cognitive, functional, nutritional, social, pharmacological and comorbidity domains, strongly correlates with mortality in older patients. Hip fractures are a major health problem and are associated with adverse outcomes in those affected by frailty. Aim: We aimed at evaluating whether MPI is a predictor of mortality and rehospitalization in hip fracture older patients. Methods: We investigated the associations of MPI with all-cause 3- and 6-month mortality and rehospitalization in 1259 older patients admitted for hip fracture surgical treatment and managed by an orthogeriatric team [age 85 years (65–109); male gender: 22%]. Results: Overall mortality was 11,4%, 17% and 23,5% at 3, 6 and 12 months from surgery (rehospitalizations: 15, 24,5 and 35,7%). MPI was associated (p < 0.001) with 3-, 6- and 12- month mortality and readmissions; Kaplan–Meier estimate for rehospitalization and survival according to MPI risk classes confirmed these results. In multiple regression analyses these associations were independent (p < 0.05) of mortality and rehospitalization-associated factors not included in the MPI, such as gender, age and post-surgical complications. Similar MPI predictive value was observed in patients undergoing endoprosthesis or other surgeries. ROC analysis confirmed that MPI was a predictor (p < 0.001) of both 3- and 6- month mortality and rehospitalization. Conclusions: In hip fracture older patients, MPI is a strong predictor of 3-, 6- and 12- months mortality and rehospitalization, independently of surgical treatment and post-surgical complications. Therefore, MPI should be considered a valid pre-surgical tool to identify patients with higher clinical risk of adverse outcomes.